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Old 02-07-2011, 01:01 AM
siginah siginah is offline
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Default 哪里有钱荒?

谢国忠
财新网

今天所谓的货币短缺反映了过去过度的货币需求,这是过于宽松的货币政策的结果。如果迫于压力改变了紧缩政策 ,货币情况就可能回到过于宽松的状态。因为通胀仍然很不稳定,这意味着产品或服务的价格可能一口气上涨20 %到30%,宽松的货币政策可能触发恶性通货膨胀和社会动荡。

  这就需要将紧缩政策从仅仅提高银行准备金率转向提高利率。前者只是将利率增加转向灰色市场,这就不成比 例地增加了中小企业的负担。当前的紧缩政策保护了地方政府和国有企业,而这两者正是猖獗的货币需求的主要动 力。通过利率政策传播调整压力将帮助中国实现软着陆。

http://magazine.caing.com/2011-07-01/100274925.html
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